Even if our responses to reduce infection were correct, which some research questions "Full lockdown policies in Western Europe countries have limited impacts on the COVID-19 epidemic, 1 May 2020." the deaths from CO-19 are comparatively modest when compared to mortalities from other causes where our reactions have been pitiful.
In most countries, 80% of the deaths with or from Covid-19 were over 80 and or in poor health. Sadly, their life expectancy would have been measured in months, rather than years. Although every day of every life is important, saving these lives should have been considered against the terrible damage done to our society. See also the link Deaths Ignored.
Dramatically mention “plague”, and we act irrationally destroying our economies and billions of lives based on unproven data and procedures.
We have mostly lifted restrictions, imposing other restrictions while ignoring data on their futility, limited vaccine and no cure.
What have the lockdowns achieved?
Peru proves that lockdown barely stops death, but destroys the country. Source, 14 July 2020.
This website does not reject, but questions the degree, supported by unfolding statistics, that lockdowns, masks, restrictions and social distancing may slow virus spread not only for CO-19 but flu and other disease.
Every life is valuable, and none should ever be wasted. However, when it comes to a choice between losing some, maybe many of our old, our sick, choices have to be made.
We destroyed our economies, to MAYBE save a relatively few lives compared to the lives lost to vehicle accidents, TB, Aids, and even flu by introducing lockdowns and compulsory restrictions like masks, hand washing and distancing.
Our leaders, and supported by a mislead public choose the “saving lives” because it sounded so noble, but damaged our society, maybe for a generation, precipitating the worst economic downturn in history.
We are beginning to see the results of our stupidity.
The below graph from an excellent set of statistics by PANDA, a collective of leading actuaries, economists, data scientists, statisticians, medical professionals, lawyers, engineers and business people working as a collective to replace bad science with good science. Link to table source here..
Click here to watch actuary Nick Hudson of Panda in discussion with Prof Alan Whiteside on the in-effectiveness of lockdowns - 23 Nov 2020.
In April 2020 this was a hotly disputed question. By July 2020 most experts agree that were many CO-19 cases without symptoms, so many more people than expected have unknowingly had CO-19, with the mortality and severe reaction rates far lower than originally predicted.
The WHO - World health Organization - estimated the COVID-19 death rate at 3.4%, while the early Stanford study puts it at 0.14, about the same as flu which is 0.1%, or one in a thousand.
As at 5 September the USA death rate is just under 3%, which is low considering the number of its overweight and diabetic citizens, possibly accounting for nearly half of all deaths there.
It would appear that the WHO estimate was based on information supplied by China. Based on this estimate the world went into panic, calculating millions of deaths.
It was also not disclosed or realised by China that there were many unknown asymptomatic cases that skewed the statistics, and about 90% of the deaths were the elderly and those with pre-existing diseases.
Due to the novelty of coronavirus there was insufficient testing to determine the real numbers of CO-19 patients, with most of the testing being those who showed symptoms.
With limited testing the ratio of deaths to known patients would be too high, indicating a false high fatality rate.
If the Stanford study was correct, which was challenged both for its assumptions, methodology and mathematics, then the predictions of mass deaths and mass hospital overloading was overestimated by a factor of more than 25 and would explain the empty US hospitals at the end of April 2020.
Even if correct, this Stanford study does not mean that there will not be many deaths and many hospitalisations, as in a bad flu season, especially amongst the elderly. LINK.
It does mean that many of the measures imposed by governments were excessive.
The Stanford report would also mean that there is already greater immunity in the populace.
With this and other evidence there is a strong argument for lifting restrictions, but to continue them for those Vulnerable and applying Preventions as suggested on this website.
Link to response 16 May 2020 of Dr. John Ioannidis one of the authors of the Stanford CO-19 Prevalence report.
Link 'The sky is not falling and coronavirus models are wrong'.
Link National Review 'Under counting COVID-19 cases likely'.
Link to 'Stop the Panic and End Total Isolation'.
Link to 'Infections exceed confirmed cases by a Factor of 16.
Sweden says leaving businesses and schools open might be working
Sweden has stood firm as at 20 April 2020 against pressure to introduce more limits on its citizens, thanks to Epidemiologist Anders Tegnell.
It has currently asked people over 70 to stay home, banned retirement homes visits, banned gatherings of more than 50 people and closed high schools and universities since mid-March.
CLICK here for report on how normal life is in Sweden.
Sweden tested originally only probable cases and health workers.
Per Bergfors Nyberg told Good Morning Europe that “the government’s response has been focused on trying to limit the spread to elderly people,” with 45 per cent of deaths were those living in nursing homes..
“Sweden does not want a general lockdown because they would lose 20-25% of general health care workers, who are so badly needed”.
Sweden’s apparent high death rate is because there is a low CO-19 testing rate.
Additionally there are complaints that care workers are under-equipped resulting in growing numbers of deaths among the elderly.
“Sweden registered very unfortunate outbreaks of the coronavirus around care homes for older people. This accounts for Sweden’s higher death rate, compared with our neighbors.” said Swedish Epidemiologist Anders Tegnell, the main behind the policy. Source.
The number of malaria-related deaths in sub-Saharan Africa could double this year if the Covid-19 pandemic completely disrupts efforts to control the disease, the World Health Organisation warned on Thursday.
This will mean 769,000 deaths from malaria alone.
It cautioned that disruption in the access to anti-malaria medicines, insecticide-treated bed net distribution and case management could lead to this dramatic spike.
It warned that more people died during the Ebola outbreak from other diseases than from Ebola itself. Daily Maverick 24 April 2020.
Continuing isolation and hoping that the virus will just go away is wishful thinking.
The earlier that we allow the virus to run its course through the “LESS VULNERABLES” the earlier we will have community protection. See this video called the The Great Barrington strategy that is proposing 6 months after Plan-B described below at https://gbdeclaration.org/video/.
Coronavirus has mutated to become far deadlier in Europe than the milder strain that made it’s way to the US west coast, Chinese study claims. Researchers in China have found at least 30 strains of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Source April 2020. Could have been false news to create even greater fear.
A new strain of the novel coronavirus which researchers call G614, the previous strain is D614, that’s spreading from Europe to the US is more infectious than its predecessor, according to a new global study published in the journal Cell and first reported on by CNN. Source 8 July 2020. This could explain the increase in infection detections.
A thought too horrible to contemplate is that as more time passes COVID-19 could mutate into a more deadly form so that the effects would be much worse for those without immunity who get infected later! Recent disputed studies seem to show that the virus is neutral growing or weakly deleterious, which could be great news..
An early vaccine would be great but is unlikely in any significant quantity before late 2020, and the virus is not going away.
Changing the present mindset means that schools can reopen, parents can get back to work, and all businesses that wish to can operate.
There have been suggestions that children seldom get COVID-19, but it instead appears that their symptoms are mostly very mild.
Most cases of children with COVID-19 were found to have caught the disease at home, not at school.
Of 2,000 children diagnosed with the virus in China, there was one death among the sample - a 14-year-old. Unfortunately, there is no information about any possible underlying health conditions in that case.
What we know about Covid-19 in children is that they rarely develop a severe illness. As an example, in Italy, there were 30,000 deaths from Covid-19, of which none were children younger than 18. In the United States, less than 2% of cases were children and only three died. All three had underlying medical conditions.
See link for COVID-19 updates on multiple subjects.
PLAN-B is more compelling now that it is becoming apparent that the estimated death rates were overestimated by a factor of 25 or more.
"The majority of the country will probably experience getting Covid-19 at some point over the next year." Dr Jody Boffa, Epidemiologist and Research fellow at Centre for Rural Health - University of KwaZulu-Natal
We need brave wartime type leadership that decides to end general lockdowns and unnecessary restrictions on all except for the VULNERABLE, as against destroying the livelihoods and futures of millions.
COVID-19 treatments staring us in the face but being ignored in Australia such as Ivermectin, Doxycycline and Zinc.
Here is a safe treatment plan that will show quick and effective response in symptomatic patients (for adults): – Vitamin D & C and Zinc daily in usual recommended doses + Virostatic drug Ivermectin 12mg daily for 3 to 5 days + Senolytic antibiotic Azithromycin 250mg to 500mg daily for 5 days to 10 days. This treatment plan ushers in prompt response. Serious indoor patients would get these medicines + necessary supportive measures + Hydroxychloroquine (HCQS)
To treat Covid-19, Ivermectin should be given orally in empty stomach – 200mcg to 600mcg per Kg body weight daily for 3 to 5 days; and Azithromycin 250mg to 500mg orally in empty stomach for 10 days. This is the best treatment plan for Covid-19 patients with mild-to-moderate symptoms. To prevent Covid-19 one should take only Ivermectin in empty stomach 200mcg per Kg body weight once in a week. Clinical trials with inadequate doses of Ivermectin do not give desired results.
Click here for Eight reasons to end the lockdowns as soon as possible.